Limit Hold'em: Hand Analysis (2)

In this article of our series of example hands in limit hold'em, the hand is divided into four parts and every part is described precisely. In this example we're holding . We're playing against a passive opponent and have a difficult decision to make, especially on the river.

                                                               

Pre-flop

"Hero" is in early position (UTG+2) and has . UTG calls and we raise just as the SHC recommends. All the other players fold and UTG calls.


                       Villain 5 (UTG) calls.
                       Hero raises.
                       Villain 5 calls.

 

Flop

                      Villain 5 checks.


Although we've missed the flop we should definitely make a continuation bet. We'll often win the pot here because "villain" also often misses the flop. Even if "villain" has a better hand such as , for example, it's difficult for the opponent to play the hand correctly, since there are two overcards on the board. In addition, on a board like this AK is often the best hand.

                     Hero bets.
                     Villain 5 calls.

 

Turn

                    Villain checks.


Obviously a very good turn for us. Now we have a strong made hand and we should definitely bet here. If "villain" doesn't raise then we can be pretty sure that we're holding the best hand.

 

                    Hero bets.
                    Villain 5 calls.

 

River 

                   Villain 5 checks.


This is a bad river for us because now all hands containing a baet us. It's , however, questionable whether "villain" would really have checked with trips instead of betting. We can now choose between checking and betting

The following are points in favour of checking:

  • Every hand with a now beats us.
  • It is certainly possible that our opponent has a hand that includes a .
  • If we bet and "Villain 5" raises we'll have to call although we're probably beat, since the pot is already relatively big.

The following are points in favour of betting:

  • We have a strong made hand.
  • It is definitely possible that our opponent would call if he had a weaker hand.
  • Our opponent has not shown any strength during the hand.

All things considered, as a rule we should bet here.


                  Hero bets.
                  Villain 5 folds.
 
The most interesting thing about this hand was the decision on the river.