Limit Hold'em: Hand Analysis (1)

In this article of our series of example hands in limit hold'em, the hand is divided into four parts (pre-flop, flop, turn and river) and every part is described precisely. In this hand, we hit top pair on the flop, but we play passively against an opponent who showed a lot of strength before the flop. 

Pre-flop

We – "Hero" – are UTG and are holding :Ad:Jd. In this case we raise, just as our starting-hand chart recommends. The player UTG+1 on our left ("villain 8") re-raises. All the other players fold. We now have the option of calling or re-raising once again (cap). We have no information about the opponent, but normally we can assume that he probably has one of the following hands: :Tx:Tx, :Jx:Jx, :Qx:Qx, :Kx:Kx, :Ax:Ax, :As:Qs, :Ac:Kc or :Ac:Kh. According to our odds calculator, the average probability of winning this hand is only around 32%. A cap therefore makes no sense and we just call.

Hero raises.

Villain 8 reraises.

...

Hero calls.

Flop :5d:8c:Jh

A good flop for our hand. If our opponent is holding a higher pocket pair (:Qx:Qx, :Kx:Kx or :Ax:Ax) then his hand is still better. If he's holding :Tx:Tx or a better ace, then we have the best hand. :Jx:Jx seems unlikely because we're holding a :Jx and there is another :Jx on the board. We should...